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America’s Foreign Policy Future: Public Opinion and the 2024 Election

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

The 2024 Chicago Council Survey finds there is often less division than imagined when it comes to long-standing pillars of US foreign policy.

a person holds a sign that says vote in front of an American flag
Carlos Osorio / AP
Public Opinion

Russians are Indifferent Toward 2024 US Presidential Election

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Among those that do think the outcome of the race will matter for Russia, most prefer Donald Trump over Kamala Harris.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appear on the debate screen
John Locher / AP
Public Opinion

American Views of China Hit All-Time Low

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Craig Kafura

The public's top priorities for the US-China relationship moving forward: avoiding war and maintaining a technological edge.

Flags of the US and China
Mark Schiefelbein / AP
US Foreign Policy

Americans Say Weakening Democracy Is the Most Critical Threat to the United States

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Lama El Baz

More than half also say the decline of democracies around the world, foreign interference in American elections, and the conflict in the Middle East pose critical threats to vital US interests.

 With the US Capitol in the background, people walk past a sign that says Voters Decide Protect Democracy
Jacquelyn Martin / AP
Public Opinion

Americans See Negative Consequences of US Troop Withdrawal from South Korea

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Karl Friedhoff

Seven in 10 say the security relationship with Seoul does more to strengthen US national security than weaken it.

Flags of South Korea and the United States flutter before a joint river-crossing drill between South Korea and the United States
Ahn Young-joon / AP
Public Opinion

Russians More Interested in Peace Talks with Ukraine, but Most Oppose Making Major Concessions

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Although the public continues to support the military operation in Ukraine, a plurality say it has caused more harm than good for Russia.

A woman walks past advertising billboards which show Russian soldiers
Dmitri Lovetsky / AP
Defense and Security

On Taiwan, Americans Favor the Status Quo

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Craig Kafura

Should China invade, Americans support arming Taipei but oppose direct military intervention.

Two soldiers fold the Taiwanese national flag
Chiang Ying-ying / AP
US Foreign Policy

Russians Tend to Say Neither Israel nor Hamas Are Justified in Military Actions

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

A plurality say the United States and NATO are most responsible for ongoing bloodshed and instability in the Middle East.

Palestinians inspect the damage at a site hit by an Israeli bombardment on Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip
Jehad Alshrafi / AP
Public Opinion

Americans Largely Support Using US Troops to Defend Allies

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Karl Friedhoff

The public also remains in favor of maintaining long-term military bases abroad.

Soldiers from NATO countries hold their respective flags
Mindaugas Kulbis / AP
Public Opinion

Americans Fear Recent Assassinations in Middle East Will Spark Wider War

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

The US public is now equally split on whether Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza is justified or not.

A Hezbollah supporter waves the Palestinian flag during the funeral procession of top commander Fouad Shukur who was killed by an Israeli airstrike
Hussein Malla / AP
US Foreign Policy