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Dina Smeltz

America’s Foreign Policy Future: Public Opinion and the 2024 Election

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

The 2024 Chicago Council Survey finds there is often less division than imagined when it comes to long-standing pillars of US foreign policy.

a person holds a sign that says vote in front of an American flag
Carlos Osorio / AP
Public Opinion

Russians More Interested in Peace Talks with Ukraine, but Most Oppose Making Major Concessions

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Although the public continues to support the military operation in Ukraine, a plurality say it has caused more harm than good for Russia.

A woman walks past advertising billboards which show Russian soldiers
Dmitri Lovetsky / AP
Defense and Security

Russians Tend to Say Neither Israel nor Hamas Are Justified in Military Actions

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

A plurality say the United States and NATO are most responsible for ongoing bloodshed and instability in the Middle East.

Palestinians inspect the damage at a site hit by an Israeli bombardment on Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip
Jehad Alshrafi / AP
Public Opinion

Americans Fear Recent Assassinations in Middle East Will Spark Wider War

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

The US public is now equally split on whether Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza is justified or not.

A Hezbollah supporter waves the Palestinian flag during the funeral procession of top commander Fouad Shukur who was killed by an Israeli airstrike
Hussein Malla / AP
US Foreign Policy

Americans See United States Playing Positive Role in Middle East

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Pluralities also say the United States has given Israel either the right amount or not enough military assistance and support.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu make statements to the media
Jacquelyn Martin / AP
Public Opinion

Americans See High Stakes for Western Security in Russia-Ukraine War

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Most Americans support sending additional aid to Ukraine and increasing sanctions on Russia, and relatively few want to withdraw support for Kyiv.

 Smoke rises from a building in Bakhmut
Libkos / AP
Public Opinion

Republicans and Democrats Support US Alliances, But for Different Reasons

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

While supporters of both parties see benefits in US security agreements, Republicans tend to be more concerned about the associated costs.

NATO leaders gather around a large table
Evan Vucci / AP
Public Opinion

American Support for Active US Global Role Not What It Used to Be

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Dina Smeltz

While most Democrats favor taking an active part in world affairs, Republicans remain divided.

An American flag is waved outside the White House
Carolyn Kaster / AP
Public Opinion

Domestic Issues Overshadow Foreign Conflicts in 2024 Voting Decisions

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Coauthors

Republicans are focused on inflation and immigration ahead of the November election, while Democrats emphasize abortion policies and democracy.

Voting booths are set up in a high school gymnasium
David Goldman / AP
Public Opinion

Majority of Americans Oppose Sending US Forces to Defend Israel if Attacked by Iran

RESEARCH
Public Opinion Survey by Dina Smeltz

Whether attacked by its neighbors or Tehran, majorities of Americans oppose using US troops to come to Israel’s defense.

Protesters carry Iranian and Palestinian flags, while an image of the Israeli flag is painted on the ground
Vahid Salemi / AP
Public Opinion